What Is the Average Stock Market Return?
On February 16, 2025 By newsroom Topic: Saving And Investing Money
- Long-term Average Return:
- The S&P 500 index has delivered an average annual return of 10% before inflation.
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After adjusting for inflation, the real return is closer to 7-8%.
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Historical Context:
- Returns over time can vary significantly.
- Since 1926, annual returns have landed in the “average” range (8-12%) only 8 times.
Average S&P 500 Returns by Timeframe
| Period | Average Annual Return |
|---------------------|---------------------------|
| 5 years (2019-2023) | 15.36% |
| 10 years (2014-2023) | 11.02% |
| 20 years (2004-2023) | 9.00% |
| 30 years (1994-2023) | 9.67% |
Note: Returns are influenced by market events like the dot-com bubble, Great Recession, and post-pandemic recovery.
What to Expect from the Market
- Long-term Estimates: Plan for an average annual return of 6% to account for market volatility.
- Bull vs. Bear Markets:
- High past returns often indicate lower future returns.
- Low past returns often signal higher future potential.
Tips for Investors
- Stay the Course:
- Long-term returns depend on a buy-and-hold strategy.
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Avoid frequent trading to minimize fees and taxes.
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Seize Opportunities in Down Markets:
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A bear market allows you to buy stocks “on sale,” potentially leading to higher future gains.
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Rebalance Your Portfolio:
- Periodically adjust to maintain your target investment mix.
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Sell investments that have overperformed and buy those that underperformed.
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Set Realistic Expectations:
- The market doesn’t rise every year. Focus on long-term growth instead of short-term results.
Key Investing Terms
- Return: Profit or loss on an investment relative to its cost.
- Index: A benchmark, like the S&P 500, that tracks the performance of a group of stocks.
- Portfolio: The collection of your investments (e.g., stocks, bonds).
Ready to Invest?
To start earning from the market’s long-term returns:
1. Open a Brokerage Account: Enables you to buy and sell investments.
2. Set a Goal: Decide on a timeline (minimum 5 years for stock investments).
3. Use Tools: Try NerdWallet’s investment calculator to see potential growth.
Remember, patience and consistency are your best allies for growing wealth in the stock market!
