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Nassim Nicholas Taleb, of the Black Swan fame wrote Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets. This book is about how human knowledge can be trumpted by something new and unexpected. Taleb says that people are mostly unaware of the existence of randomness. Taleb says people tend to explain random events as non-random. And that is where we often go wrong. Permalink |
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